AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes O-I Glass, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag OI as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is O-I Glass, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for OI is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value OI?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from OI's most recent reported fundamentals.

OI - O-I Glass, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $16.40 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 75% confidence

Primary model: Current FCF × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 115.4% above fair value

Current Price $8.83

Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $8.83) / $8.83 = -100.0% FCF continues to decline, 4x multiple

Fair Value $4.10 53.6% downside ($4.10 - $8.83) / $8.83 = -53.6% Current FCF stabilizes, 6x multiple

Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $8.83) / $8.83 = -100.0% Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 8x

Adjust Assumptions

FCF Multiple

6.0x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple 33.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Current FCF × Depressed Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $16.40 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $4.10 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.

⚠ A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.

ℹ The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.

⚠ Debt per share ($27.66) is more than half the stock price. With this much debt on a struggling business, the paths to recovery for shareholders are narrow.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $16.40 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case