OHI - Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$50.13
DETAILS
HIGH:
$54.00
LOW:
$45.00
MEDIAN:
$51.00
CONSENSUS:
$50.13
UPSIDE:
4.66%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
23.4x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($3.07) × healthcare P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
15.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $50.13 from 28 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $61.53 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 5.6% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Wall Street's average price target is $50.13 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 30% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify