The New York Times Company logo NYT - The New York Times Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $81.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $63.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $81.00
UPSIDE: 10.55%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 75% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 6.4% above fair value
Current Price $73.27
Bear Case $53.70 26.7% downside ($53.70 - $73.27) / $73.27 = -26.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $68.89 6.0% downside ($68.89 - $73.27) / $73.27 = -6.0% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $83.41 13.8% upside ($83.41 - $73.27) / $73.27 = 13.8% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 22.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.7% vs our 9.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $81.00 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $68.89 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions