Nayax Ltd. logo NYAX - Nayax Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $73.08 DETAILS
HIGH: $86.00
LOW: $68.00
MEDIAN: $69.15
CONSENSUS: $73.08
UPSIDE: 48.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 40.6% below fair value
Current Price $49.31
Bear Case $51.78 5.0% upside ($51.78 - $49.31) / $49.31 = 5.0% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $83.07 68.5% upside ($83.07 - $49.31) / $49.31 = 68.5% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $119.03 141.4% upside ($119.03 - $49.31) / $49.31 = 141.4% 21% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 20.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.1% vs our 16.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 16% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $83.07 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $73.08
Analyst Range $68.00 – $86.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 14%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions