NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. logo NWPX - NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 2
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $60.00
DOWNSIDE: 46.55%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 92.7% above fair value
Current Price $112.26
Bear Case $48.26 57.0% downside ($48.26 - $112.26) / $112.26 = -57.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $58.26 48.1% downside ($58.26 - $112.26) / $112.26 = -48.1% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $66.96 40.4% downside ($66.96 - $112.26) / $112.26 = -40.4% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 27.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $60.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $58.26 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions