Envista Holdings Corp logo NVST - Envista Holdings Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $28.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $35.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $31.00
CONSENSUS: $28.67
UPSIDE: 6.34%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 21.2% above fair value
Current Price $26.96
Bear Case $17.79 34.0% downside ($17.79 - $26.96) / $26.96 = -34.0% $1.34 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $22.24 17.5% downside ($22.24 - $26.96) / $26.96 = -17.5% $1.34 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $26.69 1.0% downside ($26.69 - $26.96) / $26.96 = -1.0% $1.34 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.34$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $28.67 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $22.24 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 379%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $28.67 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 30% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples