Envista Holdings Corp logo NVST - Envista Holdings Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 10
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $23.00
MEDIAN: $30.50
CONSENSUS: $29.50
UPSIDE: 15.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 223.8% above fair value
Current Price $25.55
Bear Case $6.31 75.3% downside ($6.31 - $25.55) / $25.55 = -75.3% $0.53 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $7.89 69.1% downside ($7.89 - $25.55) / $25.55 = -69.1% $0.53 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $9.47 62.9% downside ($9.47 - $25.55) / $25.55 = -62.9% $0.53 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.53$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 48.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.53, the base-case value is $7.89 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $29.50
Analyst Range $23.00 – $34.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 73%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 88%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $29.50 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 73% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples