NSP - Insperity, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$56.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$61.00
LOW:
$52.00
MEDIAN:
$56.00
CONSENSUS:
$56.33
UPSIDE:
9.59%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.6x
3.46$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
14.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.46, the base-case value is $57.40 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$56.33
Analyst Range
$52.00 – $61.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
2%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples