NRIM - Northrim BanCorp, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$30.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$30.00
LOW:
$30.00
MEDIAN:
$30.00
CONSENSUS:
$30.00
UPSIDE:
23.51%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
26.3%
9.3%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (26.3%) vs. cost of equity (9.3%)
Implied Market Multiple
2.2x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 26.3% vs. 9.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.93x on $11.03 tangible book, implying $43.39 per share.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly