NRG Energy, Inc. logo NRG - NRG Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 16
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $194.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $211.00
LOW: $162.00
MEDIAN: $201.50
CONSENSUS: $194.50
UPSIDE: 41.30%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C- 48.8 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
D+ 42.6
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 8.5% 53/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -1.05 pp/yr 19/100
Contributes 10.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 100.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 61.8% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -5.1% 100/100
Contributes 15.0 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
D 33.2
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 3.3% 47/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -18.1% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 8.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
C- 45.3
  • 5yr FCF Margin 1.4% 32/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.65x 62/100
Contributes 9.1 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
D+ 42.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.59x 58/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 2.40x 35/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.39 25/100
Contributes 4.3 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
D- 30.6
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.88 5/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 4 44/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 1.5 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

6 of 6 gurus held; 3 added; 3 trimmed.

Holders
6
Avg Δ position
+923.5%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.