AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Nomad Foods Limited as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag NOMD as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Nomad Foods Limited's fair value?

Fair value for NOMD comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value NOMD?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. NOMD was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from NOMD's most recent reported fundamentals.

NOMD - Nomad Foods Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $12.50 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 44.9% below fair value

Current Price $10.54

Bear Case $15.75 49.5% upside ($15.75 - $10.54) / $10.54 = 49.5% $1.04 × 15x P/E

Fair Value $19.13 81.6% upside ($19.13 - $10.54) / $10.54 = 81.6% $1.04 × 18x P/E

Bull Case $22.50 113.6% upside ($22.50 - $10.54) / $10.54 = 113.6% $1.04 × 22x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

18.4x

Adjusted EPS

1.04$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 10.1x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.04, the base-case value is $19.13 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $12.50

Analyst Range $11.00 – $14.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 53%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $12.50 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 53% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

ℹ Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1453 USD per EUR.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples