Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. logo NOG - Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $36.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $29.67
UPSIDE: 8.52%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

D+ 41.5 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — the six pillars score only reported financials, no analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B+ 78.8
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 11.9% 70/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +3.84 pp/yr 100/100
Contributes 11.8 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
B- 65.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 35.2% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 18.4% 0/100
Contributes 6.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
A 87.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 45.3% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 4.4 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
F 0.0
  • 5yr FCF Margin -15.6% 0/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion -5.26x 0/100
Contributes 0.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
D+ 39.6
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.27x 65/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 1.36x 18/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.21 20/100
Contributes 9.9 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C- 44.4
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.61 21/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
Contributes 8.9 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

1 of 2 gurus held; 1 added; 2 full exits.

Holders
1 -1
Avg Δ position
New buys
0
Full exits
2
As of Q2 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Negative-Revenue Years (5), Piotroski F-Score

The six pillars read only reported financial-statement fields — no analyst targets or consensus ratings. The archetype that picks which pillar formulas apply is not fully price-free, though: it can route a company to the distressed/ungradable archetype based on price vs. its 52-week high, and beta affects one classification check. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required. Insurers and banks are graded on their own methodology — insurers on loss ratio, its trend and stability, and premiums-to-surplus; banks on the efficiency ratio, its trend and stability, and equity-to-assets — rather than on industrial margin/ROIC signals. Distressed, highly leveraged infrastructure, asset-manager, and other financial businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.