NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$18.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$22.00
LOW:
$14.00
MEDIAN:
$20.00
CONSENSUS:
$18.67
UPSIDE:
57.42%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
75% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.8x
0.68$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
17.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.68, the base-case value is $12.12 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$18.67
Analyst Range
$14.00 – $22.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
35%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $18.67 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 35% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples