Newmark Group, Inc. logo NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $19.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $19.00
CONSENSUS: $19.00
UPSIDE: 21.79%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 75% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.8% below fair value
Current Price $15.60
Bear Case $14.14 9.3% downside ($14.14 - $15.60) / $15.60 = -9.3% $0.97 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $17.68 13.3% upside ($17.68 - $15.60) / $15.60 = 13.3% $0.97 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $21.22 36.0% upside ($21.22 - $15.60) / $15.60 = 36.0% $0.97 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.8x
0.97$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $19.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $17.68 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 43%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples