NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$102.11
DETAILS
HIGH:
$114.00
LOW:
$91.00
MEDIAN:
$102.00
CONSENSUS:
$102.11
UPSIDE:
22.39%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.7x
3.29$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
25.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.29, the base-case value is $54.83 per share. DDM cross-check: $9946.85.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (36 analysts)
$102.11
Analyst Range
$91.00 – $114.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
46%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $9946.85 (above our primary estimate by 18043%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $102.11 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples