NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$99.56
DETAILS
HIGH:
$112.00
LOW:
$87.00
MEDIAN:
$102.00
CONSENSUS:
$99.56
UPSIDE:
12.43%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.7x
3.5$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
25.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $99.56 from 36 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $70.66 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $31061.48 (above our primary estimate by 53201%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $99.56 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 41% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples