Nordson Corporation logo NDSN - Nordson Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $360.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $375.00
LOW: $345.00
MEDIAN: $360.00
CONSENSUS: $360.20
UPSIDE: 10.97%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 154.3% above fair value
Current Price $324.59
Bear Case $102.12 68.5% downside ($102.12 - $324.59) / $324.59 = -68.5% $8.51 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $127.65 60.7% downside ($127.65 - $324.59) / $324.59 = -60.7% $8.51 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $153.18 52.8% downside ($153.18 - $324.59) / $324.59 = -52.8% $8.51 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
8.51$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 38.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $8.51, the base-case value is $127.65 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (21 analysts) $360.20
Analyst Range $345.00 – $375.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 65%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $360.20 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 65% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples