N-able, Inc. logo NABL - N-able, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $4.47 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.50
LOW: $3.65
MEDIAN: $3.88
CONSENSUS: $4.47
UPSIDE: 31.09%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% below fair value
Current Price $3.41
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $3.41) / $3.41 = -100.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $3.41) / $3.41 = -100.0% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $3.41) / $3.41 = -100.0% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 0%

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $0.00 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $4.47
Analyst Range $3.65 – $6.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 100%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $4.47 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 61% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions