PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc. logo MYPS - PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $1.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $1.00
LOW: $1.00
MEDIAN: $1.00
CONSENSUS: $1.00
UPSIDE: 110.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 75% confidence

Primary model: Current FCF × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 72.9% below fair value
Current Price $0.48
Bear Case $1.40 194.6% upside ($1.40 - $0.48) / $0.48 = 194.6% FCF continues to decline, 4x multiple
Fair Value $1.75 268.7% upside ($1.75 - $0.48) / $0.48 = 268.7% Current FCF stabilizes, 6x multiple
Bull Case $2.11 344.7% upside ($2.11 - $0.48) / $0.48 = 344.7% Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 8x

Adjust Assumptions

6.0x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple -1.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Current FCF × Depressed Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $1.00 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $1.75 per share.

Warnings

Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Wall Street's average price target is $1.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 94% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
  • M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
  • Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case