PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc. logo MYPS - PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $1.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $1.00
LOW: $1.00
MEDIAN: $1.00
CONSENSUS: $1.00
UPSIDE: 22.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 39.2% below fair value
Current Price $0.82
Bear Case $1.07 31.2% upside ($1.07 - $0.82) / $0.82 = 31.2% $0.10 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $1.34 64.6% upside ($1.34 - $0.82) / $0.82 = 64.6% $0.10 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $1.61 96.8% upside ($1.61 - $0.82) / $0.82 = 96.8% $0.10 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.1$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $1.00 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $1.34 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $1.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 43% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples