MYE - Myers Industries, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$26.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$26.00
LOW:
$26.00
MEDIAN:
$26.00
CONSENSUS:
$26.00
DOWNSIDE:
16.33%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Cyclical & Capital-Intensive
80% confidence
Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
9.5x
0.97$
Key Value Driver
Through-cycle normalized EPS ($0.97)
Implied Market Multiple
31.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Using 7-year normalized EPS of $0.97 at a 10x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $9.25 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$26.00
Analyst Range
$26.00 – $26.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
64%
Warnings
This company has a built-in lending arm whose debt is mixed in with the main business. We capped the debt adjustment to avoid overstating what the core business owes.
Wall Street's average price target is $26.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 64% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
- 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
- Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing