Mueller Water Products, Inc. logo MWA - Mueller Water Products, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 11
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $32.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $35.00
LOW: $29.00
MEDIAN: $32.50
CONSENSUS: $32.25
UPSIDE: 27.42%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B+ 75.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
B- 65.5
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 8.5% 52/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +1.76 pp/yr 96/100
Contributes 16.4 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B- 66.4
  • 5yr Avg ROE 11.0% 65/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.3% 69/100
Contributes 10.0 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
A- 85.4
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 6.5% 68/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 29.0% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 21.3 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
B+ 75.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 7.9% 62/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.91x 91/100
Contributes 15.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
A+ 93.9
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.07x 94/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 13.04x 90/100
  • Altman Z-Score 4.65 98/100
Contributes 9.4 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
C+ 59.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.48 33/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
Contributes 3.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

4 of 4 gurus held; 1 added; 3 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
-48.3%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.