Murphy Oil Corporation logo MUR - Murphy Oil Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 25
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $39.18 DETAILS
HIGH: $48.00
LOW: $29.00
MEDIAN: $41.00
CONSENSUS: $39.18
UPSIDE: 6.38%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C 55.7 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
D+ 41.7
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 8.0% 50/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.89 pp/yr 23/100
Contributes 6.3 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
B- 62.6
  • 5yr Avg ROE 8.1% 50/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -1.7% 85/100
Contributes 6.3 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
C- 50.2
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -1.0% 18/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 22.5% 97/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 2.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
A 87.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 22.4% 92/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.97x 81/100
Contributes 21.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
C- 48.7
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 1.38x 79/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 2.90x 43/100
  • Altman Z-Score -7.63 0/100
Contributes 12.2 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D 33.1
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.83 7/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 6.6 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

3 of 3 gurus held; 1 new buy; 1 added; 1 trimmed.

Holders
3 +2
Avg Δ position
-73.3%
New buys
1
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.