Metropolitan Bank & Trust Company logo MTPOF - Metropolitan Bank & Trust Company

Price: -- --
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 71.9% below fair value
Current Price $0.97
Bear Case $2.16 123.0% upside ($2.16 - $0.97) / $0.97 = 123.0% ROTCE 9.0% → 1.50x TBV
Fair Value $3.45 256.3% upside ($3.45 - $0.97) / $0.97 = 256.3% ROTCE 12.1% → 2.40x TBV
Bull Case $4.22 336.2% upside ($4.22 - $0.97) / $0.97 = 336.2% ROTCE 13.9% → 2.94x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.1%
7.4%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.1%) vs. cost of equity (7.4%)

Implied Market Multiple 0.67x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.1% vs. 7.4% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.40x on $1.44 tangible book, implying $3.45 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from PHP into USD using USDPHP at 0.0157 USD per PHP.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly