Vail Resorts, Inc. logo MTN - Vail Resorts, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 20
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $169.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $234.00
LOW: $139.00
MEDIAN: $160.50
CONSENSUS: $169.50
UPSIDE: 32.82%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B 74.4 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
C+ 60.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 9.5% 58/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.36 pp/yr 66/100
Contributes 15.0 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 96.4
  • 5yr Avg ROE 59.0% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -2.3% 90/100
Contributes 14.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
A- 84.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 11.6% 84/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 24.5% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 21.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
A- 84.0
  • 5yr FCF Margin 15.4% 83/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.74x 86/100
Contributes 16.8 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
D+ 40.3
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.45x 41/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 3.34x 48/100
  • Altman Z-Score 1.57 29/100
Contributes 4.0 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
C+ 57.5
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.41 43/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 2.9 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

2 of 2 gurus held; 1 added; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
2
Avg Δ position
-15.8%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.