Materialise N.V. logo MTLS - Materialise N.V.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $10.00
LOW: $10.00
MEDIAN: $10.00
CONSENSUS: $10.00
UPSIDE: 69.49%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 3.2% below fair value
Current Price $5.90
Bear Case $4.98 15.6% downside ($4.98 - $5.90) / $5.90 = -15.6% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $6.10 3.3% upside ($6.10 - $5.90) / $5.90 = 3.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $7.19 21.9% upside ($7.19 - $5.90) / $5.90 = 21.9% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 25.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $10.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $6.10 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $10.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 49% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1630 USD per EUR.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions