Mettler-Toledo International Inc. logo MTD - Mettler-Toledo International Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 11
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $1,502.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $1,700.00
LOW: $1,194.00
MEDIAN: $1,575.00
CONSENSUS: $1,502.00
DOWNSIDE: 7.61%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 157.7% above fair value
Current Price $1625.73
Bear Case $504.60 69.0% downside ($504.60 - $1,625.73) / $1,625.73 = -69.0% $42.05 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $630.75 61.2% downside ($630.75 - $1,625.73) / $1,625.73 = -61.2% $42.05 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $756.90 53.4% downside ($756.90 - $1,625.73) / $1,625.73 = -53.4% $42.05 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
42.05$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 38.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $42.05, the base-case value is $630.75 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $1502.00
Analyst Range $1194.00 – $1700.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 58%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $1502.00 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 58% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples