MTD - Mettler-Toledo International Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$1,502.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$1,700.00
LOW:
$1,194.00
MEDIAN:
$1,575.00
CONSENSUS:
$1,502.00
DOWNSIDE:
7.61%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
42.05$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
38.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $42.05, the base-case value is $630.75 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (19 analysts)
$1502.00
Analyst Range
$1194.00 – $1700.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
58%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $1502.00 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 58% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples