MTD - Mettler-Toledo International Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$1,466.29
DETAILS
HIGH:
$1,600.00
LOW:
$1,194.00
MEDIAN:
$1,515.00
CONSENSUS:
$1,466.29
UPSIDE:
9.00%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
42.17$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
31.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $42.17, the base-case value is $632.55 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (19 analysts)
$1466.29
Analyst Range
$1194.00 – $1600.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
57%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $1466.29 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples