MRVL - Marvell Technology, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$250.58
DETAILS
HIGH:
$385.00
LOW:
$155.00
MEDIAN:
$240.00
CONSENSUS:
$250.58
UPSIDE:
6.26%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
22.5%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (23% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
44%
Implied Market Multiple
218.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
43.8%
vs our 22.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $250.58 from 73 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $119.52 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $250.58 (from 73 analysts). Our estimate is 80% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions