MRVI - Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$6.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$6.00
LOW:
$6.00
MEDIAN:
$6.00
CONSENSUS:
$6.00
DOWNSIDE:
21.87%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
0.27$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
28.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.27, the base-case value is $3.83 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (14 analysts)
$6.00
Analyst Range
$6.00 – $6.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
36%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $6.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 36% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples