AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies MRC Global Inc. as a Oil & Gas E&P business and values it using FCF at Price Deck × Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag MRC as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is MRC Global Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for MRC comes from a FCF at Price Deck × Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Oil & Gas E&P classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value MRC?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. MRC was classified as Oil & Gas E&P and is valued using FCF at Price Deck × Multiple, built from MRC's most recent reported fundamentals.

MRC - MRC Global Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $16.33 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Oil & Gas E&P 85% confidence

Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 60.5% below fair value

Current Price $13.78

Bear Case $18.39 33.5% upside ($18.39 - $13.78) / $13.78 = 33.5% FCF $207M × 10x

Fair Value $34.90 153.3% upside ($34.90 - $13.78) / $13.78 = 153.3% FCF $267M × 13x

Bull Case $55.65 303.9% upside ($55.65 - $13.78) / $13.78 = 303.9% FCF $327M × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

Oil Price ($/bbl)

75.0$/bbl

EV/FCF Multiple

13.0x

Key Value Driver

Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 6.3x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

At $75/bbl oil with a 13x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $34.90 per share. Range: $18.39 (bear) to $55.65 (bull).

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (30 analysts) $16.33

Analyst Range $16.00 – $17.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 114%

Warnings

⚠ Debt per share ($5.98) is significant relative to the stock price. Even small changes in the debt figure meaningfully shift what each share is worth.

ℹ Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $16.33 (from 30 analysts). Our estimate is 114% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential