Meituan: Q2 '26 Beat On Temporary Truce; Structural Headwinds Warrant Staying On The Sidelines
Meituan delivered Q2 2026 revenue and earnings above consensus, with core local commerce operating profit reaching RMB 5.6 bn versus consensus RMB 3.4 bn. We maintain a Hold/neutral rating, citing balanced risk-reward as MT faces domestic competition from BABA and slow international scaling of Keeta. The company trades at 16x forward earnings, a slight discount to peers, reflecting structural headwinds: persistent subsidies, regulatory cost volatility, and uncertain margin durability.