AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Montauk Renewables, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag MNTK as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Montauk Renewables, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for MNTK is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value MNTK?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from MNTK's most recent reported fundamentals.

MNTK - Montauk Renewables, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $1.60 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild

Trading 5.2% above fair value

Current Price $1.82

Bear Case $1.51 16.8% downside ($1.51 - $1.82) / $1.82 = -16.8% $0.09 × 17x P/E

Fair Value $1.73 5.0% downside ($1.73 - $1.82) / $1.82 = -5.0% $0.09 × 19x P/E

Bull Case $1.95 6.9% upside ($1.95 - $1.82) / $1.82 = 6.9% $0.09 × 22x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

19.1x

Adjusted EPS

0.09$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 19x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.09, the base-case value is $1.73 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 640%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples