AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Monro Inc. as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag MNRO as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Monro Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for MNRO comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value MNRO?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. MNRO was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from MNRO's most recent reported fundamentals.

MNRO - Monro Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $16.50 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate

Trading 32.0% below fair value

Current Price $12.39

Bear Case $15.96 28.8% upside ($15.96 - $12.39) / $12.39 = 28.8% $1.14 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $18.24 47.2% upside ($18.24 - $12.39) / $12.39 = 47.2% $1.14 × 16x P/E

Bull Case $20.52 65.6% upside ($20.52 - $12.39) / $12.39 = 65.6% $1.14 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

16.0x

Adjusted EPS

1.14$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 10.9x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.14, the base-case value is $18.24 per share. DDM cross-check: $16.16.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $16.50

Analyst Range $16.00 – $17.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 11%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 4045%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

⚠ The company pays out 4073% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

⚠ This stock is 48% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples