MakeMyTrip Limited logo MMYT - MakeMyTrip Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $77.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $84.00
LOW: $70.00
MEDIAN: $77.00
CONSENSUS: $77.00
UPSIDE: 38.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 34.5% below fair value
Current Price $55.62
Bear Case $46.59 16.2% downside ($46.59 - $55.62) / $55.62 = -16.2% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $84.86 52.6% upside ($84.86 - $55.62) / $55.62 = 52.6% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $130.66 134.9% upside ($130.66 - $55.62) / $55.62 = 134.9% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 26.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 12.9% vs our 18.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 18% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $84.86 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $77.00
Analyst Range $70.00 – $84.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 44% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions