MMM - 3M Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$185.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$218.00
LOW:
$145.00
MEDIAN:
$190.00
CONSENSUS:
$185.00
UPSIDE:
3.45%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
8.17$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $8.17, the base-case value is $122.52 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$185.00
Analyst Range
$145.00 – $218.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
34%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 36%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $185.00 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples