MillerKnoll, Inc. logo MLKN - MillerKnoll, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
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BUY 1
HOLD 5
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 34.1% below fair value
Current Price $20.16
Bear Case $26.75 32.7% upside ($26.75 - $20.16) / $20.16 = 32.7% $1.80 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $30.57 51.6% upside ($30.57 - $20.16) / $20.16 = 51.6% $1.80 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $34.39 70.6% upside ($34.39 - $20.16) / $20.16 = 70.6% $1.80 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
1.8$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.80, the base-case value is $30.57 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 36%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples