MillerKnoll, Inc. logo MLKN - MillerKnoll, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
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BUY 1
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 3.8% above fair value
Current Price $23.33
Bear Case $19.66 15.7% downside ($19.66 - $23.33) / $23.33 = -15.7% $1.32 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $22.47 3.7% downside ($22.47 - $23.33) / $23.33 = -3.7% $1.32 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $25.28 8.4% upside ($25.28 - $23.33) / $23.33 = 8.4% $1.32 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
1.32$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.32, the base-case value is $22.47 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples