MKS Inc. logo MKSI - MKS Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $404.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $600.00
LOW: $265.00
MEDIAN: $360.00
CONSENSUS: $404.00
UPSIDE: 88.06%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 54.3% above fair value
Current Price $214.83
Bear Case $85.10 60.4% downside ($85.10 - $214.83) / $214.83 = -60.4% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $139.19 35.2% downside ($139.19 - $214.83) / $214.83 = -35.2% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $193.45 10.0% downside ($193.45 - $214.83) / $214.83 = -10.0% 14% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 28.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 15.4% vs our 11.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $139.19 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $404.00
Analyst Range $265.00 – $600.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 66%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $404.00 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 66% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions