MKSI - MKS Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$408.14
DETAILS
HIGH:
$600.00
LOW:
$265.00
MEDIAN:
$374.00
CONSENSUS:
$408.14
UPSIDE:
65.61%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.0%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (11% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
31.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
16.9%
vs our 11.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $139.34 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$408.14
Analyst Range
$265.00 – $600.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
66%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $408.14 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 66% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions