MIR - Mirion Technologies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$24.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$28.00
LOW:
$23.00
MEDIAN:
$23.50
CONSENSUS:
$24.50
UPSIDE:
68.15%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
13.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (13% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
41%
Implied Market Multiple
32.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.5%
vs our 13.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $11.73 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (9 analysts)
$24.50
Analyst Range
$23.00 – $28.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
52%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 53% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $24.50 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions