MCK - McKesson Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$999.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$1,085.00
LOW:
$875.00
MEDIAN:
$1,010.00
CONSENSUS:
$999.33
UPSIDE:
18.77%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.3x
41.24$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
20.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $999.33 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $800.22 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $999.33 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 28% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples