MasterBrand, Inc. logo MBC - MasterBrand, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 0
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $10.00
LOW: $10.00
MEDIAN: $10.00
CONSENSUS: $10.00
UPSIDE: 15.87%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 55.1% below fair value
Current Price $8.63
Bear Case $16.80 94.7% upside ($16.80 - $8.63) / $8.63 = 94.7% $1.20 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $19.20 122.5% upside ($19.20 - $8.63) / $8.63 = 122.5% $1.20 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $21.60 150.3% upside ($21.60 - $8.63) / $8.63 = 150.3% $1.20 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.2$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.20, the base-case value is $19.20 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 471%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples