MasterBrand, Inc. logo MBC - MasterBrand, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 0
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $16.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $16.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $16.00
CONSENSUS: $16.00
UPSIDE: 74.86%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 52.3% below fair value
Current Price $9.15
Bear Case $16.80 83.6% upside ($16.80 - $9.15) / $9.15 = 83.6% $1.20 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $19.20 109.8% upside ($19.20 - $9.15) / $9.15 = 109.8% $1.20 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $21.60 136.1% upside ($21.60 - $9.15) / $9.15 = 136.1% $1.20 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.2$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.20, the base-case value is $19.20 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 471%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples