Masimo Corporation logo MASI - Masimo Corporation

Inactive Ticker MASI is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $180.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $180.00
LOW: $180.00
MEDIAN: $180.00
CONSENSUS: $180.00
UPSIDE: 0.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 129.9% above fair value
Current Price $179.95
Bear Case $63.57 64.7% downside ($63.57 - $179.95) / $179.95 = -64.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $78.27 56.5% downside ($78.27 - $179.95) / $179.95 = -56.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $91.22 49.3% downside ($91.22 - $179.95) / $179.95 = -49.3% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 57.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 23.1% vs our 5.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $180.00 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $78.27 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $180.00 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 75% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions