Masimo Corporation logo MASI - Masimo Corporation

Inactive Ticker MASI is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $176.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $200.00
LOW: $136.00
MEDIAN: $180.00
CONSENSUS: $176.00
DOWNSIDE: 2.20%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 245.6% above fair value
Current Price $179.95
Bear Case $42.51 76.4% downside ($42.51 - $179.95) / $179.95 = -76.4% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $52.07 71.1% downside ($52.07 - $179.95) / $179.95 = -71.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $60.50 66.4% downside ($60.50 - $179.95) / $179.95 = -66.4% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 50.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 21.2% vs our 5.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $52.07 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (23 analysts) $176.00
Analyst Range $136.00 – $200.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 70%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $176.00 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 70% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions