LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$51.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$54.00
LOW:
$48.00
MEDIAN:
$51.00
CONSENSUS:
$51.00
UPSIDE:
9.80%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
2.67$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
17.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $51.00 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $46.76 per share.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples