Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. logo LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $53.71 DETAILS
HIGH: $58.00
LOW: $48.00
MEDIAN: $53.00
CONSENSUS: $53.71
UPSIDE: 12.20%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 0.9% below fair value
Current Price $47.87
Bear Case $39.79 16.9% downside ($39.79 - $47.87) / $47.87 = -16.9% $2.84 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $48.31 0.9% upside ($48.31 - $47.87) / $47.87 = 0.9% $2.84 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $56.84 18.7% upside ($56.84 - $47.87) / $47.87 = 18.7% $2.84 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
2.84$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.84, the base-case value is $48.31 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $53.71
Analyst Range $48.00 – $58.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 37%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples