LVS - Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$69.70
DETAILS
HIGH:
$80.00
LOW:
$63.00
MEDIAN:
$68.50
CONSENSUS:
$69.70
UPSIDE:
41.01%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.5x
2.41$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
20.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $69.70 from 49 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $58.86 per share.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples