LVS - Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$58.13
DETAILS
HIGH:
$63.00
LOW:
$47.00
MEDIAN:
$60.50
CONSENSUS:
$58.13
UPSIDE:
52.93%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.5x
2.35$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
16.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.35, the base-case value is $52.88 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (49 analysts)
$58.13
Analyst Range
$47.00 – $63.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
9%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples