Is LVMUY undervalued?

AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag LVMUY as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

How does AlphaMadera value LVMUY?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. LVMUY was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from LVMUY's most recent reported fundamentals.

LVMUY - LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

Q: What is LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne's fair value?

Fair value for LVMUY comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 4.1% below fair value

Current Price $83.23

Bear Case $69.41 16.6% downside ($69.41 - $83.23) / $83.23 = -16.6% $4.70 × 15x P/E

Fair Value $86.76 4.2% upside ($86.76 - $83.23) / $83.23 = 4.2% $4.70 × 18x P/E

Bull Case $104.12 25.1% upside ($104.12 - $83.23) / $83.23 = 25.1% $4.70 × 22x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

18.4x

Adjusted EPS

4.7$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 17.7x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.70, the base-case value is $86.76 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 127% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

ℹ Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1199 USD per EUR.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples