Level 3 Communications, Inc. logo LVLT - Level 3 Communications, Inc.

Inactive Ticker LVLT is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- --
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Leveraged Infrastructure 80% confidence

Primary model: EV/EBITDA × Telecom Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% below fair value
Current Price $53.63
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $53.63) / $53.63 = -100.0% EBITDA $1B × 7.2x − $10B debt
Fair Value $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $53.63) / $53.63 = -100.0% EBITDA $1B × 8.4x − $10B debt
Bull Case $0.54 99.0% downside ($0.54 - $53.63) / $53.63 = -99.0% EBITDA $1B × 9.6x − $10B debt

Adjust Assumptions

8.4x

Key Value Driver

EV/EBITDA multiple (8.4x) vs. 9.4× leverage

Implied Market Multiple 27.3x

Plain-Language Summary

At 8.4x EV/EBITDA on $1B EBITDA, enterprise value is $9B. After subtracting $10B net debt, equity value is $0.00 per share.

Warnings

Debt is 9.4x annual operating profit. Because the company carries so much debt, even small shifts in business value cause big swings in the stock price.
Operating profit only covers interest payments 1.4 times over. If the company needs to refinance at higher rates, it could struggle to service its debt.
We value this business based on total operating profit relative to total enterprise value (debt + equity). Profit-per-share metrics are unreliable when debt makes up most of the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Debt refinancing at higher rates compresses equity value quickly
  • EBITDA flatters — capex, interest, and taxes eat the cash flow
  • Cord-cutting and wireless substitution are structural headwinds for cable