Level 3 Communications, Inc. logo LVLT - Level 3 Communications, Inc.

Inactive Ticker LVLT is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Leveraged Infrastructure 80% confidence

Primary model: EV/EBITDA × Telecom Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% below fair value
Current Price $53.63
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $53.63) / $53.63 = -100.0% EBITDA $1B × 6.0x − $10B debt
Fair Value $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $53.63) / $53.63 = -100.0% EBITDA $1B × 7.0x − $10B debt
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $53.63) / $53.63 = -100.0% EBITDA $1B × 8.0x − $10B debt

Adjust Assumptions

7.0x

Key Value Driver

EV/EBITDA multiple (7.0x) vs. 9.4× leverage

Implied Market Multiple 27.3x

Plain-Language Summary

At 7.0x EV/EBITDA on $1B EBITDA, enterprise value is $8B. After subtracting $10B net debt, equity value is $0.00 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Debt is 9.4x annual operating profit. Because the company carries so much debt, even small shifts in business value cause big swings in the stock price.
⚠ Operating profit only covers interest payments 1.4 times over. If the company needs to refinance at higher rates, it could struggle to service its debt.
ℹ We value this business based on total operating profit relative to total enterprise value (debt + equity). Profit-per-share metrics are unreliable when debt makes up most of the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Debt refinancing at higher rates compresses equity value quickly
  • EBITDA flatters — capex, interest, and taxes eat the cash flow
  • Cord-cutting and wireless substitution are structural headwinds for cable