LSCC - Lattice Semiconductor Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$162.14
DETAILS
HIGH:
$180.00
LOW:
$135.00
MEDIAN:
$165.00
CONSENSUS:
$162.14
UPSIDE:
41.73%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Cyclical & Capital-Intensive
80% confidence
Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
0.67$
Key Value Driver
Through-cycle normalized EPS ($0.67)
Implied Market Multiple
170.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Using 7-year normalized EPS of $0.67 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $10.72 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 39.7x.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$162.14
Analyst Range
$135.00 – $180.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
93%
Warnings
Price-to-book value of 39.7x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $162.14 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 93% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
- 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
- Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing