LPG - Dorian LPG Ltd.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$55.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$55.00
LOW:
$55.00
MEDIAN:
$55.00
CONSENSUS:
$55.00
DOWNSIDE:
5.42%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.6x
4.55$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
12.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.55, the base-case value is $70.96 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (9 analysts)
$55.00
Analyst Range
$55.00 – $55.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
29%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $55.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 29% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples