LOW - Lowe's Companies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$279.18
DETAILS
HIGH:
$325.00
LOW:
$232.00
MEDIAN:
$276.00
CONSENSUS:
$279.18
UPSIDE:
31.72%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
12.65$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
16.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $279.18 from 51 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $229.30 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $279.18 (from 51 analysts). Our estimate is 27% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples