The Lovesac Company logo LOVE - The Lovesac Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $22.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $26.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $23.00
CONSENSUS: $22.50
UPSIDE: 39.23%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 48.2% below fair value
Current Price $16.16
Bear Case $27.32 69.1% upside ($27.32 - $16.16) / $16.16 = 69.1% $1.45 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $31.22 93.2% upside ($31.22 - $16.16) / $16.16 = 93.2% $1.45 × 23x P/E
Bull Case $35.13 117.4% upside ($35.13 - $16.16) / $16.16 = 117.4% $1.45 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

23.0x
1.45$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $22.50 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.22 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 418%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $22.50 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 48% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples