The Lovesac Company logo LOVE - The Lovesac Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $22.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $22.00
CONSENSUS: $21.33
UPSIDE: 17.17%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.2% below fair value
Current Price $18.20
Bear Case $27.12 49.0% upside ($27.12 - $18.20) / $18.20 = 49.0% $1.45 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $30.99 70.2% upside ($30.99 - $18.20) / $18.20 = 70.2% $1.45 × 23x P/E
Bull Case $34.86 91.5% upside ($34.86 - $18.20) / $18.20 = 91.5% $1.45 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

23.0x
1.45$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $21.33 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $30.99 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 418%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $21.33 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 57% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples