The Lovesac Company logo LOVE - The Lovesac Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $22.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $22.00
CONSENSUS: $21.33
UPSIDE: 27.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 50.0% below fair value
Current Price $16.69
Bear Case $29.23 75.1% upside ($29.23 - $16.69) / $16.69 = 75.1% $1.45 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $33.40 100.1% upside ($33.40 - $16.69) / $16.69 = 100.1% $1.45 × 23x P/E
Bull Case $37.58 125.2% upside ($37.58 - $16.69) / $16.69 = 125.2% $1.45 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

23.0x
1.45$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 23x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.45, the base-case value is $33.40 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $21.33
Analyst Range $20.00 – $22.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 57%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 418%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $21.33 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 57% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples