LOVE - The Lovesac Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$21.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$22.00
LOW:
$20.00
MEDIAN:
$22.00
CONSENSUS:
$21.33
UPSIDE:
17.17%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
23.0x
1.45$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
12.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $21.33 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $30.99 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 418%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $21.33 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 57% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples