LOAR - Loar Holdings Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$83.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$98.00
LOW:
$75.00
MEDIAN:
$81.00
CONSENSUS:
$83.75
UPSIDE:
18.14%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
16.5%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (17% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
44%
Implied Market Multiple
82.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
27.9%
vs our 16.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $26.21 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions