AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Light & Wonder, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag LNW as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Light & Wonder, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for LNW is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value LNW?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from LNW's most recent reported fundamentals.

LNW - Light & Wonder, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $205.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate

Trading 27.6% below fair value

Current Price $99.75

Bear Case $91.28 8.5% downside ($91.28 - $99.75) / $99.75 = -8.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Fair Value $137.77 38.1% upside ($137.77 - $99.75) / $99.75 = 38.1% 14% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Bull Case $188.38 88.9% upside ($188.38 - $99.75) / $99.75 = 88.9% 19% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

14.3%

Discount Rate (WACC)

12.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%

Implied Market Multiple 21.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $205.00 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $137.77 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $205.00 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 41% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions