LNT - Alliant Energy Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$77.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$83.00
LOW:
$74.00
MEDIAN:
$75.50
CONSENSUS:
$77.00
UPSIDE:
13.19%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
3.14$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.14, the base-case value is $50.24 per share. DDM cross-check: $65.14.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (23 analysts)
$77.00
Analyst Range
$74.00 – $83.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
35%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $65.14 (above our primary estimate by 30%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $77.00 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 35% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples