LeMaitre Vascular, Inc. logo LMAT - LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $115.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $135.00
LOW: $95.00
MEDIAN: $115.00
CONSENSUS: $115.00
UPSIDE: 36.18%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 24.9% below fair value
Current Price $84.45
Bear Case $73.09 13.5% downside ($73.09 - $84.45) / $84.45 = -13.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $112.48 33.2% upside ($112.48 - $84.45) / $84.45 = 33.2% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $157.11 86.0% upside ($157.11 - $84.45) / $84.45 = 86.0% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 24.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.6% vs our 15.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 16% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $112.48 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $115.00
Analyst Range $95.00 – $135.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 2%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions