Liberty Live Group logo LLYVK - Liberty Live Group

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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 159656.1% above fair value
Current Price $98.25
Bear Case $0.05 99.9% downside ($0.05 - $98.25) / $98.25 = -99.9% $0.00 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $0.06 99.9% downside ($0.06 - $98.25) / $98.25 = -99.9% $0.00 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $0.07 99.9% downside ($0.07 - $98.25) / $98.25 = -99.9% $0.00 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.0$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23963.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.00, the base-case value is $0.06 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples